Publications and prizes

PUBLICATIONS

Refereed journal articles

Sutherland, W.J., Broad, S., Caine, J., Clout, M., Dicks, L.V., Doran, H., Entwistle, A.C., Fleishman, E., Gibbons, D.W., Keim, B., LeAnstey, B., Lickorish, F.A., Markillie, P., Monk, K.A., Mortimer, D., Ockendon, N., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Peck, L.S., Pretty, J., Rockström, J., Spalding, M.D., Tonneijck, F.H., Wintle, B.C. & Wright, K.E. (2016) A Horizon Scan of Global Conservation Issues for 2016. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 31, 44-53.

Hanea, A.M., McBride, M.F., Burgman, M.A., Wintle, B.C., Fidler, F., Flander, L., Twardy, C.R., Mascaro, S. & Manning, B. (In press). Investigate Discuss Estimate Aggregate for structured expert judgement. International Journal of Forecasting.

Hanea, A.M., McBride, M.F., Burgman, M.A. & Wintle, B.C. (Accepted). Classical Meets Modern in the IDEA Protocol for Structured Expert Judgement. Journal of Risk Research.

Mata, L., Garrard, G.E., Kutt, A.S., Wintle, B.C., Chee, Y., Backstrom, A., Bainbridge, B., Urlus, J., Brown, G.W., Tolsma, A.D., Yen, A.L., New, T.R., & Bekessy, S.A. (Accepted). ‘Eliciting and integrating expert knowledge to assess the viability of the critically endangered golden sun-moth Synemon plana’. Austral Ecology.

Lyon, A., Wintle, B.C. & Burgman, M. (2015) Collective wisdom: Methods of confidence interval aggregation. Journal of Business Research, 68, 1759-1767.

Garrard, G.E., Fidler, F., Wintle, B.C., Chee, Y.E. & Bekessy, S.A. (2015) Beyond Advocacy: Making Space for Conservation Scientists in Public Debate. Conservation Letters. doi: 10.1111/conl.12193

Wintle, B.C., Sutherland, W.J., Brown, B., et al (In review). Moving from research to practice: horizon scanning for protected area management in Australia. Biological Conservation.

Sutherland, W.J., Clout, M., Depledge, M., Dicks, L.V., Dinsdale, J., Entwistle, A.C., Fleishman, E., Gibbons, D.W., Keim, B., Lickorish, F.A., Monk, K.A., Ockendon, N., Peck, L.S., Pretty, J., Rockström, J., Spalding, M.D., Tonneijck, F.H. & Wintle, B.C. (2015) A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2015. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 30, 17–24.

Wintle, B.C. & Nicholson, A. (2014). Exploring risk judgments in a trade dispute with Bayesian Networks. Risk Analysis. 34(6):1095-111

Cook, C.N., Wintle, B.C., Aldrich, S.C. & Wintle, B.A. (2014) Using Strategic Foresight to Assess Conservation Opportunity. Conservation Biology, 28, 1474-1483.

Wintle, B.C., Fidler, F.M, Vesk, P. & Moore, J. (2013). Improving visual estimation with active feedback. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 4(1): 53-62

Wintle, B.C. & Cleeland, B. (2012). Interpreting risk in international trade. Journal of Risk Research. 13(3): 293-321

Burgman, M., McBride, M. Ashton, R., Speirs-Bridge, A., Flander, L., Wintle, B., Fidler, F., Rumpff, L. & Twardy, C. (2011). Expert status and performance. PLoS ONE, 6(7): e22998

Wintle, B.C., Burgman, M. A. & Fidler, F. (2007). Correspondence: How fast should nanotechnology advance? Nature Nanotechnology. 2: 327

Wintle, B.C. & Kirkpatrick, J. B. (2007).  The response of riparian vegetation to flood-maintained habitat heterogeneity. Austral Ecology. 32. 592-599.

 

Conference submissions

Wintle, B.C. (2013). Improving Risk Judgements with the Wisdom of Crowds. Invited roundtable presentation for the International Centre for Research in Organizational Discourse, Strategy & Change Conference, Melbourne, Dec 5-6.

Wintle, B.C., Fidler, F.M, Vesk, P. & Moore, J. (2013). Improving Visual Estimation with Active Feedback. (presented by A. Lyon). 24th Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision-Making Conference, Biannual Meeting of the European Association for Decision Making, Barcelona, Spain, Aug 18-22.

Wintle, B.C., Fidler, F.M, Vesk, P. & Moore, J. (2013). Improving Visual Estimation with Active Feedback. Poster presented at INTECOL 2013, Annual Meeting of the British Ecological Society, London, UK, Aug 18-23.

Wintle, B.C., Mascaro, S., Fidler, F., McBride, M., Burgman, M., Flander, L., Saw, G., Twardy, C., Lyon, A. & Manning, B. (2012). The Intelligence Game: Assessing Delphi Groups and Structured Question Formats. Proceedings of the 5th Australian Security and Intelligence Conference, Edith Cowan University, Perth, WA, Dec 3-5. *Awarded Best Paper Prize

Wintle, B.C., Chee, Y., Fidler, F., Rumpff, L., Nicholson, A. & Burgman, M. (2012). Understanding Uptake: How Trust, Cognition and Statistical Transparency Influence the Adoption of New Models in NRM Decision Making. Australian Bayesian Network Modelling Society (ABNMS), Wollongong, Nov 28-30.

Wintle, B.C., Nicholson, A. & Burgman, M. (2010). Interpreting risk and motivational context. Invited presentation to the Annual meeting of the Australian Bayesian Network Modelling Society (ABNMS), Canberra, November.

Wintle, B.C., & Burgman, M. (2010). Interpreting risk in international trade. Environmental Decisions: Risks and Uncertainties. Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, Monte Verita, Switzerland, April. *Awarded Best Contribution to Conference.

Wintle, B.C., Fidler, F. & Burgman, M. (2007). Scientific objectivity: Everyone’s imaginary friend. Poster presented to the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (JDM), Long Beach, CA, November.

 

Scholarly book chapters

Chee, Y., Fidler, F. & Wintle, B.C. (Accepted). Understanding Uptake of Decision Support Models in Conservation & NRM. In: Bunnefeld, N., Nicholson, E., & Milner-Gulland, E.J. (Eds). Decision-Making in Conservation and Natural Resource Management – Uniting Top-Down and Bottom-Up Approaches. Cambridge University Press.

Burgman, M.A, Elith, J., Gorrod, E., & Wintle, B.C. (2007). Tools for managing individual plant species in dynamic landscapes. In Managing and designing landscapes for conservation (eds D.B. Lindenmayer & R.J. Hobbs), pp. 330-342. Blackwell, Malden, Massachusetts.

 

Theses

Wintle, B.C. (submitted May 2013). Making Decisions When Estimates Conflict: Improving Judgements in Environmental Science. PhD Thesis, University of Melbourne.

Wintle, B.C. (2002). The Ecology of the Riparian Vegetation in Two East Coast River Catchments, Tasmania. Honours Thesis, University of Tasmania, Hobart.

 

Online articles (4,285 readers of our articles)

Fidler, F. & Wintle, B.C. (2012). Putting psychological research to the test with the Reproducibility Project. The Conversation, published Nov 29, 2012. http://theconversation.edu.au/putting-psychological-research-to-the-test-with-the-reproducibility-project-7052

Fidler, F. & Wintle, B.C. (2012). Understanding risk statistics about breast cancer screening. The Conversation, published Aug 3, 2012. http://theconversation.edu.au/understanding-risk-statistics-about-breast-cancer-screening-8602

 

Reports

Fidler, F., Wintle, B.C. & Thomason, N. (2013). Groups Making Wise Judgements. Final report to IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity).

Thomason, N., Carey, J., Barnard, K., Wintle, B.C. & Fidler, F. (2009). Plain English for Risk Communication. ACERA Project 0805, Final Report.

Burgman, M., Fidler, F., McBride, M., Walshe, T. & Wintle, B.C. (2006). Eliciting Expert Judgments: Literature Review. ACERA Project 0611, Final Report.

 

Other

Lyon, A., Fidler, F.M., Wintle, B.C. & Burgman, M. (2012). Overconfidence Research, presentation to IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity) on behalf of DAGGRE (Decomposition-Based Elicitation & Aggregation) team, George Mason University, Washington DC, February.

I am an occasional reviewer for the international peer-reviewed journals, Biological Conservation and Environmental Science and Policy, and on request, peer-reviewed a paper for publication in the proceedings of the 2012 5th Australian Security and Intelligence Conference.

 

PRIZES & SCHOLARSHIPS

  • Best Paper Prize at the 5th Australian Security and Intelligence Conference, Edith Cowan University, Perth, WA, Dec 3-5, 2012. (First author and presenter)
  • CSF Award Winner at the Conference on ‘Environmental Decisions: Risks and Uncertainties’, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich. Monte Verità, Switzerland, 25-29 April, 2010. (Award for best presentation from a young talented researcher). http://www.ied.ethz.ch/newsletter/newsletter7/conference/award
  • Melbourne Abroad Travelling Scholarship (MATS), University of Melbourne, 2010
  • Botany Departmental Travel Scholarship, University of Melbourne, 2007
  • Melbourne Research Scholarship (MRS), University of Melbourne, 2006

 

LANGUAGES

  • First language: English
  • Advanced: German (Level B1 Internationally-recognised Certificate from the Goethe Institut)
  • Beginners: Italian
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